Matthews China Dividend Fund


Period ended 30 June 2018

For the first half of 2018, the Matthews China Dividend Fund returned 2.54%, outperforming its benchmark, the MSCI China Index, which returned -1.69%. For the quarter ending 30 June, the Fund returned 2.01% compared to the benchmark, which returned -3.44%. 

Market Environment:

For much of the first half of the year, Chinese equity markets were marked by volatility amid some alarming headlines. There was muted response to the 2017 full year earnings reports for many Chinese companies, meanwhile, as the market already expected healthy earnings growth. In May, markets appeared encouraged by a possible deal between U.S. and China to avoid a trade war after a state visit to Washington by China's Vice Premier Liu He. Global equity markets climbed further in June following the historic summit meeting between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore. China's equity markets reversed into panic mode, however, when U.S.-China trade negotiations in Beijing did not bear fruit. With additional U.S. tariffs on US$50 billion of Chinese imports on the horizon, Chinese equities suffered heavy selling. Although China's domestic A-share market received an initial boost from the inclusion by MSCI indices, it ultimately lagged behind overseas-listed Chinese equities during the second quarter—again highlighting the risks involved in investing in this young market.

Performance Contributors and Detractors:

During the first half of the year, our security selection in the financials and consumer discretionary sectors contributed most to the Fund's outperformance versus its benchmark. Conversely, we continued to face challenges identifying health care sector firms that fit well with our investment criteria.
 
Hua Hong Semiconductor, a leading semiconductor foundry in China, was a top contributor to performance for the six month-period, amid sentiment that China would boost efforts to drive the growth of more domestically manufactured semiconductors following rising trade tensions with the U.S. In addition, a main competitor to Hua Hong raised its contract pricing significantly during this period, further exciting the market considering the industry's tight capacity levels. China Maple Leaf Educational Systems, an operator of private schools in China, was the second-best performance contributor to Fund returns for the year-to-date period. In fact, the entire for-profit education industry has done well year to date as more clarity on newly created industry regulation was introduced.

On the flip side, WH Group, a pork producer with significant operations in both the U.S. and China, became a visible casualty of trade war rhetoric. Although the company does not import U.S. pork to China by any meaningful amount, Mexico is a major destination for its U.S. exports. As Mexico introduced additional tariffs targeting U.S. goods, including pork, U.S. pork prices declined further. This could depress the company's profit margins for its U.S. business. We are closely monitoring this situation. 

Notable Portfolio Changes:

During the second quarter, we initiated a position in SUNeVision, a data center operator based in Hong Kong. We believe demand for data centers will be very strong as businesses increasingly need these to locate their mission critical servers. These servers are used to transmit, store and analyze data that is undergoing explosive growth as consumers become increasingly reliant on smartphones and smart devices. As the largest data center owner in Hong Kong, SUNeVision should enjoy strong pricing power. We believe it benefits from the additional rental revenue from its newly completed data center. We also initiated a position in Sunny Friend Environmental Technology, a leading industrial and medical waste treatment company in Taiwan. We believe the company's strong safety track record will help it to successfully duplicate its business model in China, where the potential market size is much bigger, and upstream customers such as semiconductor companies also experience strong growth.
 
During the second quarter, we meaningfully trimmed our exposure to holdings in China's domestic A-share market. We exited our holdings in Midea Group, Shanghai International Airport and China International Travel Service. Although we like the business models of these companies, the high valuations for their stocks compelled us to take profits and deploy capital elsewhere. 

Outlook:

The news flow around the prospects of a U.S.-China trade war is likely to weigh on markets over the near term. As we stated in our first-quarter commentary, this trade tussle could have broader economic and geopolitical implications. At this time, we are still cautiously optimistic about a resolution and have already seen many positive signs. Both Tesla and Ford, for example, have announced new investment commitments into China. In the case of Tesla, it would be first time China allows a foreign car company to set up a wholly owned manufacturing facility on its mainland. For our strategy, we look for companies that can sustain and grow their earnings and dividends in this environment. Just like the executives making multi-billion dollar investment commitments in China, we also believe the potential return from the growth of a vast Chinese consumer market is too attractive to ignore.


Rolling 12 Month Returns for the period ended 31 December 2017
Matthews China Dividend Fund 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
I (Acc) (USD) 38.09% 6.09% 7.94% 0.92% n.a.
MSCI China Index 54.33% 1.11% -7.62% 8.26% n.a.

Risk Considerations

The value of an investment in the Fund can go down as well as up and possible loss of principal is a risk of investing. Investments in international and emerging market securities may involve risks such as social and political instability, market illiquidity, exchange-rate fluctuations, a high level of volatility and limited regulation. The Fund invests in holdings denominated in foreign currency, and is exposed to the risk that the value of the foreign currency will increase or decrease. The Fund invests primarily in equity securities, which may result in increased volatility. There is no guarantee that the Fund or the companies in its portfolio will pay or continue to pay dividends. Investments in a single-country fund may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than diversified funds because of concentration in a specific country. These and other risks associated with investing in the Fund can be found in the Prospectus.



There is no guarantee that a company will pay or continue to increase dividends. 

Performance figures discussed in the Fund Manager Commentary above reflect that of the Institutional Accumulation Class Shares and has been calculated in USD. Performance details provided for the Fund are based on a NAV-to-NAV basis, with any dividends reinvested, and are net of management fees and other expenses. Past performance information is not indicative of future performance. Investors may not get back the full amount invested.

The information contained herein has been derived from sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of compilation, but no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of this information. Matthews International Capital Management, LLC (“Matthews Asia”) and its affiliates do not accept any liability for losses either direct or consequential caused by the use of this information. 

Information contained herein is sourced from Matthews Asia unless otherwise stated. The views and opinions in this commentary were as of the report date, subject to change and may not reflect the writer’s current views. They are not guarantees of performance or investment results and should not be taken as investment advice. Investment decisions reflect a variety of factors, and the managers reserve the right to change their views about individual stocks, sectors, and the markets at any time. As a result, the views expressed should not be relied upon as a forecast of the Fund’s future investment intent. It should not be assumed that any investment will be profitable or will equal the performance of any securities or any sectors mentioned herein. The information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any securities mentioned.

Investors should not invest in the Fund solely based on the information in this material alone. Please refer to the Prospectus for further details of the risk factors.

Sources: Brown Brothers Harriman (Luxembourg) S.C.A, Matthews Asia, FactSet Research Systems, Bloomberg