Matthews China Dividend Fund


Period ended 31 March 2018

For the quarter ending 31 March 2018, the Matthews China Dividend Fund returned 0.52% while its benchmark, the MSCI China Index, returned 1.82%.

Market Environment:

China's equity markets experienced another roller coaster ride during the first quarter of 2018, reminding investors of the volatile nature of this market. Chinese equities were strong in January, but quickly ran out of steam in February as the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield increase caused a global sell-off in equity markets. Strong financial results reported by internet giants Tencent and Alibaba Group also led investors to scrutinize the declining margins at these leading firms. The quarter also saw the end of term limits for the Chinese presidency. Shortly afterward, any political concerns were accompanied by a return of trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. 

Performance Contributors and Detractors:

During the quarter, the Fund's holding in Chinese insurance brokerage firm Fanhua was a top contributor to performance. Over the past two years, Fanhua's management successfully restructured its insurance distribution business mix, and moved away from low-margin auto insurance to focus more on growing its life insurance distribution business. It has especially concentrated on protection-type products, which carry higher margins and for which the underlying commission income is more frequently recurring. With these changes Fanhua's profitability began improving significantly. Since the insurance distribution business is capital-light and does not bear underwriting risk, Fanhua's ability to pay higher dividends is also enhanced with improving profitability. The company recently announced a new dividend policy that raised its minimum dividend payout from 30% to 50%, and instituted a quarterly dividend payment schedule.
 
Conversely, Sinopec Kantons, an energy infrastructure company, was among the top performance detractors during the quarter. The company announced strong earnings growth of 20% for 2017, but its stock price fell sharply after the earnings release due to its weaker-than-expected second half results. We are closely watching the new gas pipeline tariff the company was subject to in the last quarter of 2017, which led to lower profitability. We still believe management can improve profitability within the framework of the new tariff.

Notable Portfolio Changes:

During the quarter, we added a position in Shanghai Baosight Software, which provides IT software services in China. We are glad to see the firm's industrial software development business benefiting from the increasing profitability of Chinese steel mills, which are placing a higher priority on automation. As the largest software vendor in this segment, Baosight is seeing strong growth in its orders. In addition, its data center business, which utilizes empty land at vacant steel mill plants, has begun to contribute significantly to revenue and profits. More importantly, the company finally adopted a stock-based incentive program to better align management and shareholder interests.

During the quarter, we exited a few positions, including China Everbright and Tarena International, which were facing structural challenges that impacted their earnings and dividend growth. We decided to redeploy capital elsewhere.  

Outlook:

Currently, the strong fundamentals and attractive valuations for companies in China are being overshadowed by market concerns over a potential U.S.-China trade war. If not averted, this trade tussle could have broader economic and geopolitical implications. In terms of our strategy, we believe it is prudent to increase the portfolio's defensiveness by increasing our weight of high dividend-yield stocks with stable underlying cash flow to balance the portfolio's exposure to dividend growth names. While near-term market conditions could remain volatile, we believe China already has transformed its economy into one led by consumption growth rather than export-driven growth. Any potential sell-off would increase the attractiveness of companies that can sustain and grow their earnings and dividends in this environment. We continue to seek these types of compelling opportunities.

Rolling 12 Month Returns for the period ended 31 December 2017
Matthews China Dividend Fund 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
I (Acc) (USD) 38.09% 6.09% 7.94% 0.92% n.a.
MSCI China Index (USD) 54.33% 1.11% -7.62% 8.26% n.a.

Risk Considerations

The value of an investment in the Fund can go down as well as up and possible loss of principal is a risk of investing. Investments in international and emerging market securities may involve risks such as social and political instability, market illiquidity, exchange-rate fluctuations, a high level of volatility and limited regulation. The Fund invests in holdings denominated in foreign currency, and is exposed to the risk that the value of the foreign currency will increase or decrease. The Fund invests primarily in equity securities, which may result in increased volatility. There is no guarantee that the Fund or the companies in its portfolio will pay or continue to pay dividends. Investments in a single-country fund may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than diversified funds because of concentration in a specific country. These and other risks associated with investing in the Fund can be found in the Prospectus.



There is no guarantee that a company will pay or continue to increase dividends. 

Performance figures discussed in the Fund Manager Commentary above reflect that of the Institutional Accumulation Class Shares and has been calculated in USD. Performance details provided for the Fund are based on a NAV-to-NAV basis, with any dividends reinvested, and are net of management fees and other expenses. Past performance information is not indicative of future performance. Investors may not get back the full amount invested.

The information contained herein has been derived from sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of compilation, but no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of this information. Matthews International Capital Management, LLC (“Matthews Asia”) and its affiliates do not accept any liability for losses either direct or consequential caused by the use of this information. 

Information contained herein is sourced from Matthews Asia unless otherwise stated. The views and opinions in this commentary were as of the report date, subject to change and may not reflect the writer’s current views. They are not guarantees of performance or investment results and should not be taken as investment advice. Investment decisions reflect a variety of factors, and the managers reserve the right to change their views about individual stocks, sectors, and the markets at any time. As a result, the views expressed should not be relied upon as a forecast of the Fund’s future investment intent. It should not be assumed that any investment will be profitable or will equal the performance of any securities or any sectors mentioned herein. The information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any securities mentioned.

Investors should not invest in the Fund solely based on the information in this material alone. Please refer to the Prospectus for further details of the risk factors.

Sources: Brown Brothers Harriman (Luxembourg) S.C.A, Matthews Asia, FactSet Research Systems, Bloomberg